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Population Projections. Years 2026 - 2076 17 June 2026

If current demographic trends were maintained, Spain would gain more than four million inhabitants in the next 15 years and almost 3.4 million by 2076. The percentage of the population aged 65 and over, which currently stands at 21.1% of the total, would reach a maximum of 30.9% around 2076.

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Población y fenómenos demográficos proyectados
Indicador Nota Año 2026 Año 2040/2041 Año 2075/2076
Población residente a 1 de enero 1 49.590.099 53.841.249 52.972.994
Saldo vegetativo 2 -126.707 -156.460 -294.810
Saldo migratorio 2 615.376 285.236 239.791
  • 1 Los datos proyectados se refieren a 2041 y 2076
  • 2 Los datos proyectados se refieren a 2040 y 2075
Latest data
2026-2076 Published: 17/06/2026
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The Population projections provide a simulation of the population that would reside in Spain in the next years, broken down according to basic demographic characteristics, on the basis of the population estimate at 1 January of the current year. They meet the need for a current outlook of the possible future demographic reality which is updated to the most recent demographic evolution. In particular, the object is to simulate the effects of the demographic structure and the current demographic tendencies on the future population.

This information is provided every 2 years with a 50-year projected horizon for the national total and 15 years for Autonomous Communities and provinces, following basic demographic characteristics.

As from 2018, a collection of projected basic demographic indicators (birth, fertility, mortality, migration and growth indicators and structure of the resident population in the country) is incorporated, summarising the future evolution of demographic phenomena in Spain in the event that current demographic trends are maintained.